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http://www.johndee.com/seasonalfcst/seasonalforecast.htm

Check out what he is saying.
This guy is usually pretty acurate and the one We most rely on..
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"Well, first things first. If there is one item that you take with you after reading this outlook it should be: There is no way to reliably predict the weather on a seasonal scale! Those of you who have been following my site know that I have always been pretty low key and skeptical of any seasonal forecast- even my own. In fact I like to use the work "outlook" as I feel "forecast" should be reserved for something that has a little more proven science behind it."


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